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The WAR Room: Breaking down September callup candidates (8.31.14)

04 Sep

The WAR Room is back again, bringing you the 2014 advanced stats for every Cleveland minor leaguer. After looking at the pitchers last week, today we focus on the hitters.

Of course, it is always important to keep context in mind, just like with scouting. A pitcher who is old for his level using that experience to succeed against young, inexperienced hitters must be taken with a grain of salt; the same goes when looking at these WAR totals.

But it is a useful tool to put each player’s performance into context and look at where they sit in regard to the rest of the league.

For reference on how I computed WAR, a reminder on the problems inherent in the stats, and everything else you need to know, click here. For a refresher on WAR and what it is, click here.

As a reminder, a 0.0 WAR per 162 games is replacement level — otherwise known as the kind of performance an average player from the level below could offer — a 2.0 WAR per 162 games is average, and a 5.0 WAR per 162 games is All-Star level.

Also, the lack of good defensive metrics for the minor leagues means we have to adjust for a range of defensive abilities. To account for this, I will give you each player’s WAR with a qualifier: either poor-defense WAR for a poor defender (-10 runs below-average per 162 games), average-defense WAR for an average defender (0 runs per 162 games), or great-defense WAR for a great defender (10 runs above-average per 162 games).

One more thing, all “+” stats are averaged at 100. Anything over 100, like 110, is higher and means that player is 10 percent better than the league average. Anything under 100, like 90, is lower and means that player is 10 percent worse than the league average. In the case of any “-” stats — when lower is better, like with ERA — a 90 ERA- means that player is 10 percent better than the league average.

Today we look at the hitters throughout the system. Next week we will do the pitchers. For the full stats, go ahead and click here. Stats are updated through Friday, August 29.

With 3.4 average-defense WAR in 116 games, first baseman Jesus Aguilar has shown an ability to play around an All-Star level in his first taste of the International League. How much longer he is given to accumulate Triple-A stats is up for debate, however. Many are wondering how soon Aguilar will be up in Cleveland, and given his .208 isolated power (157 ISO+), 19.3 percent strikeout rate (100 K%+), and 13.0 percent walk rate (146 BB%+) in Columbus, he really should get a look soon. Cleveland’s lineup remains heavy with left-handed batters, but soon they should be joined by the right-handed Aguilar. Read More…

From Indians Baseball Insider, August 31, 2014

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Posted by on September 4, 2014 in ZS. August 2014

 

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