The WAR Room: 2014 Lake County pitchers season in review (9.21.14)

24 Sep

The WAR Room is back again, bringing you the 2014 advanced stats for every Cleveland minor leaguer. With the minor league seasons at an end, we continue bringing you seasons in review, with today’s featuring the 2014 Lake County Captains. This week, we focus on the Captains’ pitchers, including their strong trio of starting pitchers in Mitch BrownAdam Plutko, and Luis Lugo.

Of course, it is always important to keep context in mind, just like with scouting. A pitcher who is old for his level using that experience to succeed against young, inexperienced hitters must be taken with a grain of salt; the same goes when looking at these WAR totals.

But it is a useful tool to put each player’s performance into context and look at where they sit in regard to the rest of the league.

For reference on how I computed WAR, a reminder on the problems inherent in the stats, and everything else you need to know, click here. For a refresher on WAR and what it is, click here.

As a reminder, a 0.0 WAR per 162 games is replacement level — otherwise known as the kind of performance an average player from the level below could offer — a 2.0 WAR per 162 games is average, and a 5.0 WAR per 162 games is All-Star level.

Also note that pitchers have FIP-based WAR — which is based on peripherals like strikeouts, walks, home runs, etc. — and RA-based WAR — which is based on runs allowed.

One more thing, all “+” stats are averaged at 100. Anything over 100, like 110, is higher and means that player is 10 percent better than the league average. Anything under 100, like 90, is lower and means that player is 10 percent worse than the league average. In the case of any “-” stats — when lower is better, like with ERA — a 90 ERA- means that player is 10 percent better than the league average.

Today we look at the 2014 Lake County pitchers. Next week we will move to their hitters. For the full stats, go ahead and click here.

It did not start out that way, but by the end of the season, right-hander Mitch Brown found his stride and began to rebuild his prospect value. The 2012 second round pick had a rough go of things last year, but this season, he rebounded for a 2.1 FIP-based WAR and 2.8 RA-based WAR in 138.2 innings. There is still plenty of work ahead for Brown, especially considering his value was driven in part by a probably unsustainable 0.39 HR/9 (65 HR/9+). Pairing a roughly average 22.2 percent strikeout rate (106 K%+) with a high 9.6 percent walk rate (116 BB%+) will not work long term, but for now, the fact that the 20-year-old Brown is getting good results for the first time in his professional career is a great first step. Read More…

From Indians Baseball Insider, September 21, 2014

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Posted by on September 24, 2014 in ZT. September 2014


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