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THE WAR ROOM: NAQUIN IS RED-HOT IN AKRON (5.11.15)

11 Jun

The WAR Room is back again, bringing you the 2015 advanced stats for every Cleveland minor leaguer. Though it is still early in the season, there are some interesting trends to watch and monitor as the season goes on. Join Jim Piascik as he breaks down Tyler Naquin’s hot start, how Carlos Moncrief and Eric Haase are better than their averages, and much more as he takes you into The WAR Room.

As always, just like with scouting, it is always important to keep context in mind with these stats. A pitcher who is old for his level using that experience to succeed against young, inexperienced hitters must be taken with a grain of salt; the same goes when looking at these WAR totals.

But it is a useful tool to put each player’s performance into context and look at where they sit in regard to the rest of the league.

For reference on how I computed WAR, a reminder on the problems inherent in the stats, and everything else you need to know, click here. For a refresher on WAR and what it is, click here.

As a reminder, a 0.0 WAR per 162 games is replacement level — otherwise known as the kind of performance an average player from the level below could offer — a 2.0 WAR per 162 games is average, and a 5.0 WAR per 162 games is All-Star level.

Also, the lack of good defensive metrics for the minor leagues means we have to adjust for a range of defensive abilities. To account for this, I will give you each player’s WAR with a qualifier: either poor-defense WAR for a poor defender (-10 runs below-average per 162 games), average-defense WAR for an average defender (0 runs per 162 games), or great-defense WAR for a great defender (10 runs above-average per 162 games).

Additionally, note that pitchers have FIP-based WAR — which is based on peripherals like strikeouts, walks, home runs, etc. — and RA-based WAR — which is based on runs allowed.

One more thing, all “+” stats are averaged at 100. Anything over 100, like 110, is higher and means that player is 10 percent better than the league average. Anything under 100, like 90, is lower and means that player is 10 percent worse than the league average. In the case of any “-” stats — when lower is better, like with ERA — a 90 ERA- means that player is 10 percent better than the league average.

For the full stats, go ahead and click here. Stats are updated through Saturday, May 9.

Though he is currently down with mild quad cramping, if his start to the season is any indication, outfielder Tyler Naquin will be back on his feet performing at a high level in no time at all. Naquin is leading RubberDuck position players in average-defense WAR with 0.6 in just 13 games, and while performing at an All-Star level is almost guaranteed to come with some unsustainability, much of the outfielder’s performance does not look out of place. The 9.1% strikeout rate (48 K%+) and 13.6% walk rate (161 BB%+) are both likely on the high-end of Naquin’s talent level, but the fact that the outfielder can put up these numbers without much power (.074 isolated power, 65 ISO+) or batted ball fortune (.347 BABIP, 113 BABIP+) is impressive. Naquin will need to get healthy and back on the field, but overall, there is nothing wrong with the 2012 first round pick performing well in the upper levels of the minors. Read More…

From Indians Baseball Insider, May 11, 2015

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Posted by on June 11, 2015 in ZZB. May 2015

 

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